GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB I · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Ferencvarosi TC 1-1 Debreceni VSC

Original prediction

Ferencvarosi TC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2970.9%51.0%-19.8 pts
Draw5.3517.1%25.2%8.1 pts
Away7.6012.0%23.8%11.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-19.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferencvarosi TCDWWDW

GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Debreceni VSCLWWDD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ferencvarosi TCDebreceni VSC
52.4Attack50.0
61.9Defence37.5
57.1Form37.5
58.6Power44.1
2.10xG1.10
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