GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/22/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ferencvarosi TC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Borac Banja Luka are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ferencvarosi TC holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferencvarosi TCWDWLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Borac Banja LukaWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ferencvarosi TCBorac Banja Luka
61.1Attack41.7
72.2Defence66.7
77.8Form41.7
72.4Power51.6
1.65xG0.85
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