GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/30/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ferencvarosi TC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AZ Alkmaar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (72.4 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ferencvarosi TC holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

55.2%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferencvarosi TCLLDWL

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
AZ AlkmaarLWDDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ferencvarosi TCAZ Alkmaar
61.1Attack58.3
72.2Defence47.2
77.8Form50.0
72.4Power53.5
2.03xG1.09
View match centre →