GGOALVIO

Italy · Coppa Italia · 8/6/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Feralpisalo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Feralpisalo are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Vicenza Virtus are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Feralpisalo hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Coppa Italia, while Feralpisalo holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Feralpisalo

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Feralpisalo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FeralpisaloWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Vicenza VirtusD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
FeralpisaloVicenza Virtus
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power23.7
1.80xG1.19
View match centre →