GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/2/2025, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Feralpisalo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Padova are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FeralpisaloWDWLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PadovaWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FeralpisaloPadova
46.5Attack48.2
73.7Defence75.4
63.2Form67.5
62.6Power64.8
0.73xG0.70
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