GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 8/23/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Feralpisalo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Feralpisalo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Novara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Feralpisalo hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Feralpisalo holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Feralpisalo

Probability

55.0%

Model confidence

55.0%

Feralpisalo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FeralpisaloLWLDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NovaraLDWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FeralpisaloNovara
46.5Attack34.2
73.7Defence57.0
63.2Form37.7
62.6Power45.4
1.35xG0.47
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