GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/13/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Feralpisalo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Feralpisalo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Caldiero Terme are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Feralpisalo hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Feralpisalo holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Feralpisalo

Probability

66.8%

Model confidence

66.8%

Feralpisalo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FeralpisaloWLWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Caldiero TermeLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FeralpisaloCaldiero Terme
46.5Attack34.2
73.7Defence43.9
63.2Form28.9
62.6Power38.1
1.81xG0.46
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