Fenixvs
Tacuarembo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 5/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fenix are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tacuarembo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.4% in the Segunda División, while Fenix holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenix
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
21.4%
Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60