Fenixvs
Tacuarembo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 4/5/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fenix are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tacuarembo are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.4% in the Segunda División, while Fenix holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenix
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
21.4%
Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00