GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Segunda División · 7/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Fenix are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sportivo Huracan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.8% in the Segunda División, while Fenix holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fenix

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

18.8%

Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FenixLDDWD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo HuracanLWWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FenixSportivo Huracan
50.0Attack31.6
66.7Defence57.9
53.3Form38.6
58.1Power45.4
1.40xG0.56
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