Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fenix are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Oriental are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Segunda División, while Fenix holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenix
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80