Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fenix 1-0 Miramar, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fenix 1-1 Miramar
Original prediction
Fenix
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 53.4% | 60.0% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.3% | 24.7% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.71 | 19.4% | 15.3% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Projected Score
Fenix 1–0 Miramar
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Fenix
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FenixLWLDD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MiramarDLDLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FenixMiramar
50.0Attack30.2
63.6Defence55.6
53.0Form31.7
56.8Power41.5
1.50xG0.57