Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
21%
HighconfidenceFenix are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while La Luz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Segunda División, favouring a draw with 21.3% confidence, a 27% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
21.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FenixDWLWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
La LuzLWWLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FenixLa Luz
50.0Attack28.1
66.7Defence66.7
53.3Form42.1
58.1Power47.5
1.10xG0.50