Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fenix 0-0 Colón, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fenix 1-1 Colón
Original prediction
Fenix
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.0% | 43.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 31.1% | 30.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 27.9% | 26.7% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
Fenix 0–0 Colón
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Fenix
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FenixWLDDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ColónLLWDW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FenixColón
48.0Attack37.5
64.0Defence66.7
52.0Form51.4
56.1Power53.9
1.03xG0.74