Fenixvs
CA River Plate
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 6/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fenix are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CA River Plate are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Segunda División, while Fenix holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenix
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
12.3%
Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00