GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 2/11/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Fenix are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico Torque are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Primera División, while Atletico Torque holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Torque

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FenixWWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Atletico TorqueD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
FenixAtletico Torque
27.3Attack50.0
57.6Defence59.1
31.8Form53.0
40.5Power55.5
0.68xG1.21
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