GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2025, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VfB Stuttgart · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fenerbahçe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while VfB Stuttgart are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and VfB Stuttgart hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while VfB Stuttgart holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VfB Stuttgart

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

VfB Stuttgart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FenerbahçeWDWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VfB StuttgartWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FenerbahçeVfB Stuttgart
47.2Attack55.6
55.6Defence58.3
47.2Form50.0
51.6Power54.3
1.26xG1.37
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