GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/26/2024, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Fenerbahce are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union St. Gilloise are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union St. Gilloise hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FenerbahceLWWWD

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Union St. GilloiseDLDDW

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
FenerbahceUnion St. Gilloise
47.2Attack33.3
55.6Defence66.7
47.2Form58.3
51.6Power55.2
1.09xG0.90
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