Fenerbahçevs
Sturm Graz
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fenerbahçe 2-0 Sturm Graz
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.7%
Model confidence
13.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FenerbahçeDWDWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sturm GrazDWWWW
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FenerbahçeSturm Graz
44.4Attack66.7
88.9Defence77.8
77.8Form66.7
72.8Power67.8
1.37xG1.28