Fenerbahçevs
Slavia Praha
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 10/20/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenerbahçe · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia Praha
Original prediction
Fenerbahçe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 60.2% | 49.1% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 21.5% | 25.6% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 5.21 | 18.3% | 25.2% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Fenerbahçe
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80