GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/6/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fenerbahçe · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fenerbahçe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rangers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Fenerbahçe holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fenerbahçe

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FenerbahçeWDDWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RangersLWLWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FenerbahçeRangers
47.2Attack33.3
55.6Defence50.0
47.2Form16.7
51.6Power36.5
1.57xG1.06
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