GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 2/19/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nottingham Forest · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fenerbahçe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nottingham Forest are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Nottingham Forest holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nottingham Forest

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Nottingham Forest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FenerbahçeWWWDD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Nottingham ForestDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FenerbahçeNottingham Forest
47.2Attack50.0
55.6Defence66.7
47.2Form56.3
51.6Power57.9
0.99xG1.25
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