Fenerbahçevs
Nice
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/2/2025, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenerbahçe · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Fenerbahçe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nice are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 28.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Fenerbahçe holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenerbahçe
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00