FenerbahçevsManchester United

Fenerbahçe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Manchester United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.