Fenerbahçevs
Lyon
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/23/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fenerbahçe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lyon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyon
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40