Fenerbahçevs
Gaziantep FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/13/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gaziantep FK · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fenerbahçe are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gaziantep FK are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gaziantep FK hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Süper Lig, while Gaziantep FK holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gaziantep FK
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
Gaziantep FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67