GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/27/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fenerbahçe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ferencvarosi TC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ferencvarosi TC holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FenerbahçeWWDWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ferencvarosi TCLWWWL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FenerbahçeFerencvarosi TC
47.2Attack61.1
55.6Defence72.2
47.2Form77.8
51.6Power72.4
1.03xG1.46
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