Fenerbahçevs
Eyüpspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenerbahçe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fenerbahçe 8-0 Eyüpspor
Original prediction
Fenerbahçe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 81.4% | 61.0% | -20.4 pts |
| Draw | 7.64 | 12.3% | 21.3% | 9.0 pts |
| Away | 14.88 | 6.3% | 17.7% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Fenerbahçe
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60