GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/11/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fenerbahçe are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Athletic Club are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FenerbahçeLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Athletic ClubWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FenerbahçeAthletic Club
47.2Attack52.4
55.6Defence59.5
47.2Form61.9
51.6Power58.7
1.20xG1.31
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