Fenerbahçevs
Aston Villa
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Fenerbahçe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aston Villa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 79.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40