GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 2/13/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fenerbahçe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Anderlecht are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Anderlecht holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Anderlecht

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FenerbahçeWWDWD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AnderlechtWLLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FenerbahçeAnderlecht
47.2Attack66.7
55.6Defence66.7
47.2Form83.3
51.6Power75.3
1.20xG1.47
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