Fencibles UnitedvsSouth Auckland Rangers

Fencibles United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while South Auckland Rangers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fencibles United hold an 85.6-point power-rating edge (92.6 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.1% in the Chatham Cup, while Fencibles United holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.