Fencibles Unitedvs
Nelson Suburbs
COMPLETEDNew-Zealand · Chatham Cup · 8/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fencibles United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fencibles United 3-0 Nelson Suburbs
Original prediction
Fencibles United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Fencibles United
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
7.4%
Fencibles United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Fencibles UnitedWWLWW
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nelson SuburbsWWLWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Fencibles UnitedNelson Suburbs
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
89.7Power91.8
2.43xG2.10