Felgueiras U23vs
Rio Ave U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rio Ave U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Felgueiras U23 2-2 Rio Ave U23
Original prediction
Rio Ave U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.1% | 33.3% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.1% | 28.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 33.8% | 38.4% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Rio Ave U23
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Rio Ave U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00