Felgueiras U23vs
Estoril U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 9/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estoril U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Felgueiras U23 2-2 Estoril U23
Original prediction
Estoril U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.5% | 31.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.9% | 27.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.6% | 40.8% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Estoril U23
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Estoril U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60