Felgueiras 1932vs
Lusitânia Lourosa
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lusitânia Lourosa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Felgueiras 1932 0-1 Lusitânia Lourosa, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Felgueiras 1932 2-2 Lusitânia Lourosa
Original prediction
Lusitânia Lourosa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 37.0% | 24.0% | -13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.6% | 29.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.5% | 46.7% | 14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.2 pts
Projected Score
Felgueiras 1932 0–1 Lusitânia Lourosa
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Lusitânia Lourosa
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Lusitânia Lourosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00