Felgueiras 1932vs
Chaves
COMPLETEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Felgueiras 1932 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Felgueiras 1932 0-0 Chaves, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Felgueiras 1932 2-1 Chaves
Original prediction
Felgueiras 1932
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 40.5% | 38.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.5% | 30.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 30.0% | 31.3% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Projected Score
Felgueiras 1932 0–0 Chaves
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Felgueiras 1932
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Felgueiras 1932 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40