GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 9/5/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting CP B · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Feirense 0-0 Sporting CP B, with an exact score probability of 20%.

Prediction record

Final result

Feirense 1-3 Sporting CP B

Original prediction

Sporting CP B

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6234.9%26.1%-8.8 pts
Draw3.0629.9%30.4%0.5 pts
Away2.6035.2%43.5%8.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.3 pts

Projected Score

Feirense 0–0 Sporting CP B

Exact score probability: 20%

Predicted outcome

Sporting CP B

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Sporting CP B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FeirenseLLLDD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting CP BWLWWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FeirenseSporting CP B
31.5Attack40.2
53.7Defence66.7
31.5Form41.2
41.2Power50.0
0.66xG1.04
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