Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 202613:00Updated today
Feirense

Feirense

Home
D
vs
13:00
Arouca

Arouca

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Feirense36%
Draw35%
Arouca29%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Feirense
36%
Draw
35%
Arouca
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Feirense
73
Arouca
94
Defence
Feirense
27
Arouca
66
Momentum
Feirense
33
Arouca
100
Danger (xG)
Feirense
1.80
Arouca
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Feirense)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Arouca)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Feirense)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Arouca)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FeirenseFeirense
D
AroucaArouca
WW

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Feirense36%
Draw35%
Arouca29%

Feirense leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Feirense head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (D), while Arouca arrive in decent form (WW). Feirense have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Arouca over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Feirense (73/100) and Arouca (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Feirense have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Arouca have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Feirense and Arouca in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Feirense to win with 36% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Feirense 3564%, Draw 3500%, Arouca 2935%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Feirense

Feirense

D
@ União de Leiria
17 May 2026
22
Arouca

Arouca

W
vs Tondela
16 May 2026
31
W
@ GIL Vicente
11 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Feirense vs Arouca?

GoalVio's model predicts Feirense to win with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Feirense vs Arouca?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Feirense vs Arouca?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Feirense vs Arouca?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more