Fehérvár FCvs
Szentlőrinc SE
COMPLETEDHungary · NB II · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fehérvár FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fehérvár FC 3-0 Szentlőrinc SE
Original prediction
Fehérvár FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.2% | 42.9% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 28.3% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 19.9% | 28.8% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Fehérvár FC
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Fehérvár FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40