NB II
Fehérvár FC
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Kozarmisleny FC
AwayThe model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.
The model projects 1.65 xG for Fehérvár FC and 1.10 xG for Kozarmisleny FC — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Kozarmisleny FC holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.75 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. The xG distribution places the most weight on scorelines that clear 2.5, though the margin above the threshold is not large.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Fehérvár FC's Attack Score (94) vs Kozarmisleny FC's Defensive Stability (66) and Kozarmisleny FC's attack (73) vs Fehérvár FC's defence (91) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesFehérvár FCKozarmisleny FCProbability breakdown
Fehérvár FC leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Fehérvár FC Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0
Fehérvár FC host Kozarmisleny FC in NB II. Fehérvár FC have recorded WWLWLW in recent matches while Kozarmisleny FC arrive with a run of WWDWLL.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Fehérvár FC are generating a clear xG advantage — 1.65 projected against 1.10 for Kozarmisleny FC. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.54 is the clearest signal in the model that Fehérvár FC are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: Kozarmisleny FC have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If Kozarmisleny FC carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.
Risk factors
- ⚠Kozarmisleny FC are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
Recent form
Fehérvár FC
Kozarmisleny FC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fehérvár FC vs Kozarmisleny FC?
GoalVio's model predicts Fehérvár FC to win with 36% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Fehérvár FC vs Kozarmisleny FC?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Fehérvár FC vs Kozarmisleny FC?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fehérvár FC vs Kozarmisleny FC?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.