Fehérvár FCvs
Ajka
COMPLETEDHungary · NB II · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fehérvár FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fehérvár FC 1-2 Ajka
Original prediction
Fehérvár FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.5% | 46.1% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.5% | 25.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.48 | 20.0% | 28.1% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Fehérvár FC
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Fehérvár FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20