Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCSB · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FCSB 1-0 Uta Arad, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
FCSB 1-3 Uta Arad
Original prediction
FCSB
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 61.8% | 59.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 22.0% | 23.7% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 5.66 | 16.3% | 16.4% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Projected Score
FCSB 1–0 Uta Arad
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
FCSB
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FCSBLWDDL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Uta AradDLDLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FCSBUta Arad
50.0Attack16.7
72.2Defence50.0
61.1Form16.7
62.8Power30.5
1.64xG0.57