Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCSB · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FCSB are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Uta Arad are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FCSB hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Liga I, while FCSB holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FCSB
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
14.7%
FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80