Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rapid · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FCSB 0-1 Rapid, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
FCSB 4-1 Rapid
Original prediction
Rapid
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 40.0% | 23.3% | -16.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.7% | 25.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.3% | 51.1% | 18.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.8 pts
Projected Score
FCSB 0–1 Rapid
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Rapid
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Rapid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FCSBWWLDL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RapidWWWWW
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FCSBRapid
44.4Attack50.0
50.0Defence75.0
50.0Form69.4
49.9Power67.2
0.68xG1.44