FCSBvs
Petrolul Ploiesti
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 9/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCSB · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FCSB 0-0 Petrolul Ploiesti, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
FCSB 2-2 Petrolul Ploiesti
Original prediction
FCSB
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 65.0% | 44.4% | -20.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 21.1% | 27.1% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 6.59 | 13.9% | 28.5% | 14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.5 pts
Projected Score
FCSB 0–0 Petrolul Ploiesti
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
FCSB
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FCSBLWLLW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Petrolul PloiestiWLWLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FCSBPetrolul Ploiesti
45.8Attack37.5
58.3Defence66.7
45.8Form66.7
51.6Power59.2
1.02xG0.94