Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCSB · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FCSB are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while PAOK are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.1 against 54.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while FCSB holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FCSB
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20