GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/30/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FCSB are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Manchester United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manchester United

Probability

53.7%

Model confidence

53.7%

Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FCSBWWDLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Manchester UnitedWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FCSBManchester United
40.5Attack77.8
57.1Defence57.8
57.1Form71.1
53.1Power69.9
1.05xG1.92
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