Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCSB · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FCSB are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lask Linz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FCSB hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while FCSB holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FCSB
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40