Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCSB · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FCSB are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Feyenoord are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FCSB hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while FCSB holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FCSB
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20