GGOALVIO

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World · UEFA Europa League · 1/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FCSB are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.1 against 51.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FCSBLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FenerbahçeDLWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FCSBFenerbahçe
40.5Attack47.2
57.1Defence55.6
57.1Form47.2
53.1Power51.6
1.17xG1.10
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